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Minot, North Dakota 7 Day Weather Forecast
Wx Forecast - Wx Discussion - Wx Aviation
NWS Forecast for Minot ND
National Weather Service Forecast for: Minot ND
Issued by: National Weather Service Bismarck, ND
Updated: 3:50 am CDT Jul 25, 2025
 
Today

Today: Sunny and hot, with a high near 92. South wind 8 to 13 mph, with gusts as high as 23 mph.
Hot

Tonight

Tonight: A 30 percent chance of showers and thunderstorms, mainly before 11pm.  Partly cloudy, with a low around 64. Southwest wind 6 to 10 mph, with gusts as high as 20 mph.  New precipitation amounts between a tenth and quarter of an inch, except higher amounts possible in thunderstorms.
Chance
T-storms then
Partly Cloudy
Saturday

Saturday: Sunny and hot, with a high near 92. West wind around 6 mph becoming northeast in the afternoon.
Hot

Saturday
Night
Saturday Night: Showers likely and possibly a thunderstorm.  Mostly cloudy, with a low around 62. Northeast wind 6 to 8 mph.  Chance of precipitation is 60%.
Showers
Likely

Sunday

Sunday: A 30 percent chance of showers and thunderstorms.  Partly sunny, with a high near 86. Northeast wind 6 to 8 mph becoming northwest in the afternoon.
Chance
T-storms

Sunday
Night
Sunday Night: A 30 percent chance of showers and thunderstorms before 1am.  Partly cloudy, with a low around 59. Northwest wind 7 to 9 mph.
Chance
T-storms then
Chance
Showers
Monday

Monday: Partly sunny, with a high near 78. North wind 7 to 9 mph.
Partly Sunny

Monday
Night
Monday Night: A chance of showers and thunderstorms after 1am.  Mostly cloudy, with a low around 57. Northeast wind 5 to 7 mph.
Partly Cloudy
then Chance
Showers
Tuesday

Tuesday: A slight chance of showers after 1pm.  Mostly sunny, with a high near 78. Northeast wind 6 to 8 mph.
Partly Sunny
then Slight
Chance
Showers
Hi 92 °F Lo 64 °F Hi 92 °F Lo 62 °F Hi 86 °F Lo 59 °F Hi 78 °F Lo 57 °F Hi 78 °F

Hazardous Weather Outlook
 

Today
 
Sunny and hot, with a high near 92. South wind 8 to 13 mph, with gusts as high as 23 mph.
Tonight
 
A 30 percent chance of showers and thunderstorms, mainly before 11pm. Partly cloudy, with a low around 64. Southwest wind 6 to 10 mph, with gusts as high as 20 mph. New precipitation amounts between a tenth and quarter of an inch, except higher amounts possible in thunderstorms.
Saturday
 
Sunny and hot, with a high near 92. West wind around 6 mph becoming northeast in the afternoon.
Saturday Night
 
Showers likely and possibly a thunderstorm. Mostly cloudy, with a low around 62. Northeast wind 6 to 8 mph. Chance of precipitation is 60%.
Sunday
 
A 30 percent chance of showers and thunderstorms. Partly sunny, with a high near 86. Northeast wind 6 to 8 mph becoming northwest in the afternoon.
Sunday Night
 
A 30 percent chance of showers and thunderstorms before 1am. Partly cloudy, with a low around 59. Northwest wind 7 to 9 mph.
Monday
 
Partly sunny, with a high near 78. North wind 7 to 9 mph.
Monday Night
 
A chance of showers and thunderstorms after 1am. Mostly cloudy, with a low around 57. Northeast wind 5 to 7 mph.
Tuesday
 
A slight chance of showers after 1pm. Mostly sunny, with a high near 78. Northeast wind 6 to 8 mph.
Tuesday Night
 
Partly cloudy, with a low around 57. Northeast wind 5 to 8 mph.
Wednesday
 
Mostly sunny, with a high near 78. Southeast wind 5 to 8 mph.
Wednesday Night
 
Partly cloudy, with a low around 56. East wind 6 to 9 mph becoming south after midnight.
Thursday
 
Partly sunny, with a high near 79. South wind 6 to 11 mph, with gusts as high as 20 mph.

 

Forecast from NOAA-NWS for Minot ND.

Weather Forecast Discussion
330
FXUS63 KBIS 250856
AFDBIS

Area Forecast Discussion
National Weather Service Bismarck ND
356 AM CDT Fri Jul 25 2025

.KEY MESSAGES...

- Scattered severe thunderstorms are possible this afternoon and
  evening. Golf ball sized hail, wind gusts up to 70 mph, and a
  tornado or two are the primary threats.

- Periodic showers and thunderstorms are expected Friday,
  through this weekend, and into early next week. A few severe
  storms are possible.

- Hot and humid today and Saturday with highs in the mid 80s to
  mid 90s, followed by a cooling trend beginning Sunday and
  continuing into the middle of next week. Heat index values may
  approach 100 degrees in parts of the south central, including
  the James River Valley, on Saturday.

&&

.DISCUSSION...
Issued at 356 AM CDT Fri Jul 25 2025

A few showers and thunderstorms are present across parts of the
forecast area along the nose of a LLJ. Most of these showers and
storms should dissipate after sunrise as the LLJ weakens,
however, a few may persist through the morning. Severe weather
is not expected this morning.

Of greater concern at this time is this afternoon and evening.
Fairly broad high pressure over the east CONUS will help pump
Gulf moisture back into the state. This will result in mixed
layer dewpoints of around 65 degrees and surface dewpoints of
around 70 degrees across much of central and eastern North
Dakota. In turn, this will produce a very buoyant and unstable
atmosphere with MUCAPE values potentially in excess of 3500
J/kg, while capping doesn`t appear likely to be much of an
issue today.

With the anticipation of a very unstable environment and a lack
of solid capping, there are two other factors that will greatly
determine if severe weather will develop and to what extent.
The first is forcing mechanisms. There is no obviously potent
shortwave, however, subtle shortwave energy off central Canadian
low pressure may pass through the area. That combined with
diurnal heating may be enough to fire off showers and
thunderstorms by mid to late afternoon. Where these will fire is
anyone`s guess as some CAMs start them in eastern Montana,
while others fire off storms in south central ND. That said, the
very latest trend in the CAMs is more towards the former
solution, but definitely wouldn`t discount them flipping back to
the latter solution either.

The second factor in regard to the extent of severe weather is
wind shear. Models remain fairly consistent with one another in
limited shear with 0 to 6 km bulk shear generally progged to
range from around 25 to 35 kts. While this is adequate given the
ample instability, it may very well limit the peak intensity
and duration of storms that develop. Whether actual shear where
storms fire winds up closer to 25 or 35 kts can make a
significant difference.

In regard to hazard types for this afternoon, that will largely
depend on storm mode and where storms develop. Despite limited
shear, it seems that hail up to the size of golf balls and a
tornado or two is possible should any discrete storms develop in
the mid to late afternoon, with the tornado threat mainly in
the south central along and east of Highway 83. CAMs favor storm
mode rapidly developing into a cluster or MCS. When/if this
happens, hazards will primarily become hail up to the size of
quarters and 70 mph wind gusts. Most CAMs favor storms
dissipating or exiting the forecast area within a few hours of
sunset. However, flip flopping runs between the HRRR and NAMNest
suggest a low chance that activity could continue well into the
night most likely in the far south central east of Highway 83
and south of I94.

Beyond tonight, dry conditions are expected Saturday morning
and early afternoon before another round of thunderstorms, a few
potentially severe, develop. Environmental conditions don`t
appear too dissimilar Saturday from today. However, there may be
a little more capping to overcome and once again, the lack of a
great forcing mechanism. Beyond Saturday, periodic showers and
thunderstorms remain possible through early next week, with at
least a low end severe threat possible each day. Drier
conditions are favored for the latter half of the workweek,
though low chances for showers and thunderstorms remain each day
for at least some part of the forecast area.

As assumed from the severe weather discussion, hot and muggy
conditions are expected for today and Saturday. Widespread heat
indices in the upper 80s to low 90s are expected this afternoon,
and the 90s across most of the area, except the northwest, on
Saturday. Heat indices reaching 100 degrees are possible for
parts of the south central, including the James River Valley, on
Saturday. Will have to keep an eye on the trends over the next
24 hours to see if any heat related headlines will be warranted.
Beyond Saturday, expect a cooling trend to begin Sunday and
persist through the middle of next week. The middle of next week
may see highs mostly in the mid 70s to low 80s.

&&

.AVIATION /06Z TAFS THROUGH 06Z SATURDAY/...
Issued at 1252 AM CDT Fri Jul 25 2025

VFR ceilings and visibility are generally expected through the
period. However, isolated showers and thunderstorms are possible
tonight mainly in southwestern and south central ND. The
terminal with the highest probability (30 percent) of seeing
any showers and/or thunderstorms during the overnight hours is
KBIS. Additional showers and thunderstorms are expected to
develop Friday afternoon and evening. Reductions in ceilings and
visibility, as well as erratic winds, are all possible while
any showers and thunderstorms are ongoing.

&&

.BIS WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES...
None.

&&

$$

DISCUSSION...Telken
AVIATION...Telken
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Forecast Discussion from: NOAA-NWS Script developed by: El Dorado Weather






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